Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-10-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23576 217 3
FY ice 155 4997 4758
MY ice 0 165 8005
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22981 238 19
FY ice 500 4504 5814
MY ice 0 190 7547
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22552 330 5
FY ice 154 4861 5438
MY ice 0 158 8075
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20973 801 3
FY ice 432 5461 5951
MY ice 0 153 8161
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20993 989 1
FY ice 412 5224 5791
MY ice 0 202 8323

Date: 2016-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19434 186 0
FY ice 865 7505 4977
MY ice 0 212 8074
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19395 398 15
FY ice 904 7275 4769
MY ice 0 230 8267

Date: 2016-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19595 462 0
FY ice 79 9330 3678
MY ice 0 259 8154
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18258 347 0
FY ice 1416 9428 3538
MY ice 0 276 8294

Date: 2016-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19337 551 0
FY ice 438 12580 1439
MY ice 0 701 7539
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18058 496 0
FY ice 1717 12517 1326
MY ice 0 819 7652

Date: 2016-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18504 417 0
FY ice 1171 13132 1512
MY ice 0 718 7509
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17101 905 0
FY ice 2574 12473 1391
MY ice 0 889 7630


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