Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-04-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 12875 1525
MY ice 0 5397 13826
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13301 1143
MY ice 0 5874 13145
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 13618 1273
MY ice 0 6470 12374
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 93 12609 1065
MY ice 10 8056 10483
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 93 12549 1075
MY ice 10 8116 10473

Date: 2016-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 10634 717
MY ice 0 9443 8028
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 1
FY ice 3 10483 695
MY ice 0 9594 8049

Date: 2016-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 3 0
FY ice 3 9714 1239
MY ice 0 7597 7884
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 9624 1208
MY ice 0 7690 7915

Date: 2016-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 8 0
FY ice 0 13491 1103
MY ice 0 8106 10672
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 0 13467 1112
MY ice 0 8136 10663

Date: 2016-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 10 13366 1092
MY ice 0 7990 10912
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 10 13155 1078
MY ice 0 8201 10926


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