Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-04-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86336 474 7
FY ice 1027 43361 3489
MY ice 0 9530 19017
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86166 754 2
FY ice 1010 44509 2892
MY ice 0 10102 18236
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 78170 426 0
FY ice 462 42268 3087
MY ice 0 10569 13731
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 80732 450 288
FY ice 509 38663 3270
MY ice 10 12657 14339
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 80726 453 260
FY ice 515 38423 3267
MY ice 10 12894 14370

Date: 2016-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 78370 477 121
FY ice 464 41557 1034
MY ice 0 14645 11019
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 78386 468 96
FY ice 448 41259 1011
MY ice 0 14952 11067

Date: 2016-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 81077 568 155
FY ice 105 36115 1590
MY ice 0 12708 9833
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 80823 534 191
FY ice 359 35982 1534
MY ice 0 12875 9853

Date: 2016-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83230 1158 12
FY ice 89 43629 2736
MY ice 0 13806 15397
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83061 1258 27
FY ice 258 43459 2623
MY ice 0 13876 15495

Date: 2016-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84532 1196 7
FY ice 247 43627 2560
MY ice 0 13499 15618
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84326 1370 13
FY ice 453 42683 2501
MY ice 0 14269 15671


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