Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-03-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85003 1005 41
FY ice 1326 41284 3628
MY ice 0 10262 19028
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84756 806 156
FY ice 1105 42508 3475
MY ice 0 10299 18483
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85258 774 51
FY ice 359 43711 3650
MY ice 0 10057 18484
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85302 681 37
FY ice 539 44233 3368
MY ice 0 9475 18897
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85311 694 39
FY ice 530 43782 3418
MY ice 0 9913 18845

Date: 2016-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85657 676 47
FY ice 626 43996 3724
MY ice 0 10004 17833
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85657 678 46
FY ice 626 43525 3756
MY ice 0 10473 17802

Date: 2016-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86265 773 29
FY ice 518 43396 3369
MY ice 0 9856 18010
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85513 744 40
FY ice 1270 43038 3369
MY ice 0 10243 17999

Date: 2016-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86434 597 29
FY ice 1160 43393 3111
MY ice 0 9848 18696
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86076 603 45
FY ice 1518 42977 3261
MY ice 0 10258 18530

Date: 2016-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86336 474 7
FY ice 1027 43361 3489
MY ice 0 9530 19017
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85560 471 7
FY ice 1803 42947 3594
MY ice 0 9947 18912


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