Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-02-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86960 343 102
FY ice 1189 44690 4841
MY ice 0 5972 20666
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86346 366 72
FY ice 733 45256 4794
MY ice 0 6439 20617
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86794 457 79
FY ice 684 44545 4929
MY ice 0 6124 20722
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87236 518 62
FY ice 914 45596 3670
MY ice 0 6731 19876
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87230 533 66
FY ice 920 45221 3627
MY ice 0 7091 19915

Date: 2016-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86826 714 4
FY ice 1146 47099 3402
MY ice 0 6544 19903
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86781 691 4
FY ice 1191 46734 3383
MY ice 0 6932 19922

Date: 2016-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87491 749 0
FY ice 258 48020 2605
MY ice 0 7147 18672
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86545 516 0
FY ice 1204 47888 2558
MY ice 0 7512 18719

Date: 2016-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87152 828 0
FY ice 1191 46806 2807
MY ice 0 7747 18314
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86566 745 0
FY ice 1777 46576 2733
MY ice 0 8060 18388

Date: 2016-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86939 806 14
FY ice 1175 46039 1705
MY ice 0 9438 16320
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86607 719 15
FY ice 1507 45757 1726
MY ice 0 9807 16298


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