Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-01-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87262 865 16
FY ice 494 48587 2999
MY ice 0 5312 21001
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87527 743 30
FY ice 684 47976 3458
MY ice 0 5378 21227
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87917 618 51
FY ice 282 47334 3672
MY ice 0 5878 20620
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87476 664 190
FY ice 318 47255 4045
MY ice 0 5607 20789
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87485 651 193
FY ice 309 47027 3920
MY ice 0 5848 20911

Date: 2016-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87837 537 23
FY ice 444 46410 4450
MY ice 0 5384 21489
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87811 510 19
FY ice 470 46231 4379
MY ice 0 5590 21564

Date: 2016-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88069 570 77
FY ice 136 45899 4014
MY ice 0 5454 20757
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87371 396 86
FY ice 834 45835 3885
MY ice 0 5692 20877

Date: 2016-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87803 385 192
FY ice 693 45998 3791
MY ice 0 5811 19301
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87150 295 156
FY ice 1346 45728 3748
MY ice 0 6171 19380

Date: 2016-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87245 267 181
FY ice 1086 45290 4253
MY ice 0 6339 20233
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86751 230 156
FY ice 1580 45038 4099
MY ice 0 6628 20412


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