Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice type - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-12-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1008 7 0
FY ice 125 21211 1121
MY ice 0 1326 3536
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1080 20 0
FY ice 225 21369 1582
MY ice 0 1237 3126
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1285 41 0
FY ice 113 21267 1591
MY ice 0 1277 3049
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1133 7 0
FY ice 178 21114 1869
MY ice 0 1150 3035
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1138 8 0
FY ice 173 20882 1825
MY ice 0 1381 3079

Date: 2015-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 891 6 0
FY ice 169 21225 1591
MY ice 0 1580 2822
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 900 6 0
FY ice 160 21017 1490
MY ice 0 1788 2923

Date: 2015-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1380 44 0
FY ice 73 21000 1477
MY ice 0 1393 2880
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 991 0 0
FY ice 462 20767 1383
MY ice 0 1670 2974

Date: 2015-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1225 4 0
FY ice 524 21257 1509
MY ice 0 1381 2744
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 920 0 0
FY ice 829 20965 1319
MY ice 0 1677 2934

Date: 2015-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1070 0 0
FY ice 738 21483 1390
MY ice 0 1386 2627
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 742 0 0
FY ice 1066 21189 1272
MY ice 0 1680 2745


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