Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-11-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9005 153 0
FY ice 100 19426 596
MY ice 0 952 12419
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7694 191 0
FY ice 107 19566 598
MY ice 0 1091 12437
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6963 100 0
FY ice 203 19216 1051
MY ice 0 930 12491
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5811 26 0
FY ice 883 19101 1205
MY ice 0 991 12440
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5755 23 0
FY ice 939 19087 1200
MY ice 0 1008 12445

Date: 2015-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4420 8 0
FY ice 1176 19187 1143
MY ice 0 875 12617
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4344 8 0
FY ice 1252 19173 1124
MY ice 0 889 12636

Date: 2015-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5342 68 0
FY ice 278 18916 1561
MY ice 0 887 12754
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3829 19 0
FY ice 1791 18919 1552
MY ice 0 933 12763

Date: 2015-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3847 19 0
FY ice 420 19136 1696
MY ice 0 1126 12705
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3217 18 0
FY ice 1050 19165 1694
MY ice 0 1098 12707

Date: 2015-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2899 144 0
FY ice 873 19342 1536
MY ice 0 1099 12908
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2715 219 0
FY ice 1057 19382 1561
MY ice 0 984 12883


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