Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-11-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9590 207 0
FY ice 732 18233 706
MY ice 0 1155 12272
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9297 214 0
FY ice 495 18781 719
MY ice 0 1019 12350
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9388 173 0
FY ice 92 19191 608
MY ice 0 1194 12244
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9427 174 0
FY ice 79 19278 632
MY ice 0 935 12357
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9418 175 0
FY ice 88 19286 618
MY ice 0 926 12371

Date: 2015-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8300 133 0
FY ice 91 19521 598
MY ice 0 1147 12382
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8277 131 0
FY ice 114 19545 574
MY ice 0 1125 12406

Date: 2015-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7408 181 0
FY ice 30 19270 907
MY ice 0 1075 12381
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7247 137 0
FY ice 191 19280 882
MY ice 0 1109 12406

Date: 2015-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6507 22 0
FY ice 592 18982 1179
MY ice 0 865 12576
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6482 34 0
FY ice 617 18834 1153
MY ice 0 1001 12602

Date: 2015-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5000 90 0
FY ice 1078 19434 989
MY ice 0 984 12383
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5277 97 0
FY ice 801 19275 990
MY ice 0 1136 12382


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