Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-11-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107424 1284 0
FY ice 1329 40777 1717
MY ice 0 3585 22047
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106572 1212 0
FY ice 1268 41516 2232
MY ice 0 3377 21882
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107729 861 0
FY ice 312 42000 1887
MY ice 0 3811 21302
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107507 1166 0
FY ice 526 41889 1989
MY ice 0 3737 21925
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107522 1241 0
FY ice 511 41743 1925
MY ice 0 3808 21989

Date: 2015-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106137 1381 0
FY ice 794 41590 1956
MY ice 0 3375 22928
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106103 1458 0
FY ice 828 41411 1962
MY ice 0 3477 22922

Date: 2015-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105307 1560 0
FY ice 143 41638 2044
MY ice 0 3604 22287
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 104335 1344 3
FY ice 1115 41709 1995
MY ice 0 3749 22333

Date: 2015-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 102337 1466 0
FY ice 1140 42409 2256
MY ice 0 3656 23026
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 102098 1288 0
FY ice 1379 42495 2268
MY ice 0 3748 23014

Date: 2015-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99863 787 0
FY ice 1932 43821 1820
MY ice 0 3254 23358
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99731 1154 0
FY ice 2064 43237 2239
MY ice 0 3471 22939


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