Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-11-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116057 1401 0
FY ice 985 32395 2864
MY ice 0 1687 25489
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 113556 1989 0
FY ice 1268 32666 3471
MY ice 0 1305 25824
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114115 1132 0
FY ice 450 34359 3377
MY ice 0 1701 24992
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 112585 992 0
FY ice 822 35997 3292
MY ice 0 1791 24559
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 112375 1051 0
FY ice 1032 35857 3324
MY ice 0 1872 24527

Date: 2015-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110226 933 0
FY ice 1208 38981 2755
MY ice 0 2011 24444
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 109892 1017 0
FY ice 1542 38829 2843
MY ice 0 2079 24356

Date: 2015-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110148 1052 0
FY ice 239 39067 3123
MY ice 0 2634 23253
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108914 736 0
FY ice 1473 39337 3117
MY ice 0 2680 23259

Date: 2015-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108105 1195 0
FY ice 878 39557 3305
MY ice 0 2315 23816
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107656 857 0
FY ice 1327 39842 3074
MY ice 0 2368 24047

Date: 2015-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107424 1284 0
FY ice 1329 40777 1717
MY ice 0 3585 22047
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106811 1043 0
FY ice 1921 41265 1477
MY ice 21 3338 22287


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