Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-12-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2023 41 0
FY ice 700 11895 2067
MY ice 0 1337 15010
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1506 4 0
FY ice 694 12003 2100
MY ice 0 1357 14995
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1237 17 21
FY ice 267 11937 2266
MY ice 0 1325 15033
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 529 152 21
FY ice 471 12369 2173
MY ice 0 1406 15094
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 517 168 22
FY ice 483 12397 2212
MY ice 0 1362 15054

Date: 2014-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 57 81 22
FY ice 205 12616 2342
MY ice 0 1316 14779
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 57 107 27
FY ice 205 12661 2358
MY ice 0 1245 14758

Date: 2014-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20 0 0
FY ice 121 12916 2349
MY ice 0 1455 14748
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12 85 0
FY ice 129 12921 2350
MY ice 0 1365 14747

Date: 2014-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 45 12806 2467
MY ice 0 1624 14640
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 5 0
FY ice 45 12885 2519
MY ice 0 1540 14588

Date: 2014-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 21 13025 2321
MY ice 0 1572 14367
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 17 0
FY ice 21 13070 2351
MY ice 0 1510 14337


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