Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-11-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 104337 794 18
FY ice 586 38976 1856
MY ice 0 2537 23960
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 103662 707 0
FY ice 508 39184 2365
MY ice 0 2591 24507
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 103246 791 0
FY ice 264 39213 2996
MY ice 7 2301 24570
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 102354 641 17
FY ice 549 39320 2944
MY ice 0 2488 24383
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 102314 647 17
FY ice 589 39550 3096
MY ice 0 2252 24231

Date: 2014-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101267 627 5
FY ice 867 40108 3104
MY ice 9 2628 22909
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101109 654 5
FY ice 1033 40373 3218
MY ice 1 2336 22795

Date: 2014-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100812 668 10
FY ice 226 40058 3225
MY ice 9 2237 24139
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99804 605 8
FY ice 1239 40383 3216
MY ice 4 1975 24150

Date: 2014-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98716 785 48
FY ice 381 40883 3233
MY ice 14 2444 22802
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97871 766 51
FY ice 1236 41138 3186
MY ice 4 2208 22846

Date: 2014-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97273 749 40
FY ice 799 40701 3485
MY ice 6 2668 22316
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96537 691 41
FY ice 1536 41136 3409
MY ice 5 2291 22391


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