Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-10-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20400 436 0
FY ice 2 3968 9
MY ice 0 1457 14333
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19526 647 0
FY ice 8 4152 28
MY ice 0 1114 14649
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19289 422 0
FY ice 19 4604 72
MY ice 0 1673 14362
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19170 428 0
FY ice 54 4875 56
MY ice 0 1741 13389
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19162 506 0
FY ice 62 4801 63
MY ice 0 1737 13382

Date: 2014-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18461 616 0
FY ice 28 5283 62
MY ice 0 1367 14130
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18459 619 0
FY ice 30 5298 55
MY ice 0 1349 14137

Date: 2014-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17888 420 0
FY ice 9 5840 226
MY ice 0 1360 14508
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17869 706 0
FY ice 28 5553 187
MY ice 0 1361 14547

Date: 2014-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18002 124 0
FY ice 126 5685 343
MY ice 0 1430 14701
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17984 306 0
FY ice 144 5527 293
MY ice 0 1406 14751

Date: 2014-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17688 111 0
FY ice 197 5484 599
MY ice 0 1293 15346
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17672 292 0
FY ice 213 5354 569
MY ice 0 1242 15376


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