Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-10-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 134194 2528 0
FY ice 54 10392 12
MY ice 0 4192 23534
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 133330 2452 0
FY ice 115 10816 41
MY ice 21 3460 23569
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 132425 1853 0
FY ice 96 12435 84
MY ice 60 3035 24570
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 130705 2109 0
FY ice 109 13322 84
MY ice 12 3241 24202
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 130693 2217 0
FY ice 126 13308 100
MY ice 7 3147 24186

Date: 2014-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 128887 2402 0
FY ice 157 14639 95
MY ice 26 2773 25122
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 128904 2555 0
FY ice 140 14599 102
MY ice 26 2660 25115

Date: 2014-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126721 1702 0
FY ice 57 17082 305
MY ice 12 2794 25486
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126641 3260 0
FY ice 123 15721 239
MY ice 26 2597 25552

Date: 2014-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126464 1130 0
FY ice 554 17451 410
MY ice 22 4163 23831
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126703 2495 0
FY ice 297 16250 331
MY ice 40 3999 23910

Date: 2014-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 123903 1465 0
FY ice 568 18802 687
MY ice 0 3475 25178
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 124213 3369 0
FY ice 258 17014 640
MY ice 0 3359 25225


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