Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-09-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96710 239 0
FY ice 63 738 0
MY ice 21 1037 6797
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96158 435 0
FY ice 63 760 0
MY ice 11 1022 7305
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96857 367 0
FY ice 44 711 0
MY ice 57 1306 5312
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97101 484 0
FY ice 11 807 0
MY ice 24 1494 5833
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97100 478 0
FY ice 12 807 0
MY ice 24 1500 5833

Date: 2014-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97098 278 0
FY ice 57 770 0
MY ice 37 949 6942
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97081 236 0
FY ice 64 803 0
MY ice 47 958 6942

Date: 2014-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96084 494 0
FY ice 38 1281 1
MY ice 6 427 6990
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96045 540 0
FY ice 51 1051 0
MY ice 32 611 6991

Date: 2014-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96476 448 0
FY ice 47 1328 0
MY ice 3 397 7908
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96444 483 0
FY ice 58 1124 1
MY ice 24 566 7907

Date: 2014-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96102 650 0
FY ice 52 1299 0
MY ice 0 791 7067
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96067 869 0
FY ice 78 1058 0
MY ice 9 813 7067


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