Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-09-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138134 0 0
FY ice 357 0 0
MY ice 89 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137715 113 0
FY ice 476 1 0
MY ice 144 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138461 1868 0
FY ice 75 3728 30
MY ice 45 5765 24279
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138015 1439 0
FY ice 212 4506 1
MY ice 125 3754 25031
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137961 1606 0
FY ice 258 4330 1
MY ice 133 3763 25031

Date: 2014-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137352 1746 0
FY ice 219 5545 16
MY ice 15 4091 25204
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137202 1715 0
FY ice 367 5536 13
MY ice 17 4131 25207

Date: 2014-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137478 1710 0
FY ice 53 6503 5
MY ice 4 3729 24873
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136791 1362 0
FY ice 704 6562 4
MY ice 40 4018 24874

Date: 2014-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136708 2018 0
FY ice 47 7006 1
MY ice 32 4010 24188
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135732 1482 0
FY ice 972 7315 2
MY ice 83 4237 24187

Date: 2014-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135875 1763 0
FY ice 68 8091 2
MY ice 29 3671 25303
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 134884 1501 0
FY ice 1040 8174 48
MY ice 48 3850 25257


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