Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-01-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13010 2556
MY ice 0 1779 16603
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 1 12555 2309
MY ice 0 1985 16846
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 12294 2388
MY ice 0 2135 17170
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 11829 2561
MY ice 0 2047 17236
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 11652 3220
MY ice 0 2224 16577

Date: 2014-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 11550 2420
MY ice 0 2064 17568
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 11574 3103
MY ice 0 2040 16885

Date: 2014-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 1 11317 2424
MY ice 0 2373 17322
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 1 11334 2974
MY ice 0 2354 16772

Date: 2014-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 41 11045 2423
MY ice 0 2428 17555
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 41 0
FY ice 41 11235 2799
MY ice 0 2197 17179

Date: 2014-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 4 0
FY ice 77 10614 2545
MY ice 0 2598 17654
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 109 0
FY ice 77 10728 3031
MY ice 0 2379 17168


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