Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-01-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86667 242 47
FY ice 1007 40452 4978
MY ice 0 4060 22247
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85995 317 109
FY ice 1051 40463 4391
MY ice 0 4206 22478
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86723 337 84
FY ice 434 40449 4503
MY ice 0 4336 22871
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85603 388 90
FY ice 503 39592 5194
MY ice 0 4271 22831
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85633 443 114
FY ice 473 39299 5801
MY ice 0 4509 22200

Date: 2014-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85646 345 100
FY ice 618 39649 5056
MY ice 0 4197 23076
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85689 382 114
FY ice 575 39455 5583
MY ice 0 4354 22535

Date: 2014-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85764 490 57
FY ice 412 39480 4647
MY ice 0 4698 22129
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85382 506 79
FY ice 794 39057 5184
MY ice 0 5105 21570

Date: 2014-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85938 383 33
FY ice 742 38667 4479
MY ice 0 4796 22258
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85663 471 54
FY ice 1017 38514 4855
MY ice 0 4861 21861

Date: 2014-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85755 467 41
FY ice 784 39170 3990
MY ice 0 5148 22272
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85346 513 35
FY ice 1185 38990 4407
MY ice 8 5282 21861


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