Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-11-16

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27016 380 202 125 38
VODI 287 213 147 61 21
ODI 67 201 198 127 31
CDI 6 117 163 238 58
VCDI 10 117 297 634 6665
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25201 283 128 151 99
VODI 812 176 181 76 31
ODI 253 145 223 156 49
CDI 88 130 216 301 73
VCDI 17 115 247 1300 6968
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24860 465 200 175 33
VODI 329 201 145 124 46
ODI 71 140 261 251 70
CDI 9 43 186 489 153
VCDI 4 20 110 1915 7119
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24660 374 181 179 40
VODI 462 221 177 105 38
ODI 131 181 197 191 74
CDI 15 72 218 470 155
VCDI 5 21 129 2009 7114

Date: 2011-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24538 535 263 127 39
VODI 259 200 133 133 44
ODI 48 103 137 226 108
CDI 7 44 115 415 282
VCDI 2 24 116 931 8590
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24081 419 183 98 50
VODI 555 226 156 102 32
ODI 185 152 139 288 103
CDI 22 73 143 340 289
VCDI 11 36 143 1004 8589

Date: 2011-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23753 373 209 179 116
VODI 383 299 217 186 77
ODI 88 59 195 285 226
CDI 18 27 45 267 480
VCDI 14 24 82 648 9169
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23645 344 193 152 145
VODI 320 208 169 202 59
ODI 212 141 195 232 238
CDI 60 53 88 260 471
VCDI 19 36 103 719 9155

Date: 2011-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23555 835 354 349 267
VODI 40 234 185 123 121
ODI 8 81 164 194 213
CDI 13 20 81 223 489
VCDI 4 33 91 512 9230
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23163 609 270 273 229
VODI 264 225 191 160 103
ODI 143 257 171 168 252
CDI 29 58 109 216 497
VCDI 21 54 134 584 9239


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