Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-11-09

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 26997 571 340 239 26
VODI 126 152 139 124 33
ODI 26 161 127 114 41
CDI 2 152 239 165 80
VCDI 0 20 139 896 6510
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27461 377 203 296 10
VODI 121 195 93 153 15
ODI 44 108 108 175 27
CDI 24 58 80 257 75
VCDI 9 28 79 814 6609
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27431 264 230 122 28
VODI 330 134 109 53 34
ODI 98 173 121 78 56
CDI 46 134 169 167 77
VCDI 14 64 169 447 6871
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27357 267 252 130 30
VODI 379 165 95 56 37
ODI 94 135 134 88 56
CDI 50 99 148 158 90
VCDI 39 103 169 435 6853

Date: 2011-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 26548 319 174 115 55
VODI 437 266 186 49 35
ODI 104 255 198 74 44
CDI 18 111 291 135 87
VCDI 1 85 329 819 6684
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 26547 408 242 103 34
VODI 445 272 151 38 29
ODI 96 168 226 94 41
CDI 17 96 251 194 77
VCDI 3 92 308 763 6724

Date: 2011-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24796 223 134 216 41
VODI 703 193 203 95 43
ODI 148 199 226 238 66
CDI 10 54 208 569 88
VCDI 0 22 158 1753 7033
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25249 277 196 278 44
VODI 297 241 233 146 24
ODI 79 77 190 318 37
CDI 27 48 192 600 83
VCDI 5 48 118 1529 7083

Date: 2011-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24879 443 217 210 51
VODI 193 152 139 143 51
ODI 55 79 181 311 113
CDI 7 36 110 403 199
VCDI 4 21 127 1691 7604
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24809 363 236 233 90
VODI 237 140 129 240 71
ODI 56 136 178 289 71
CDI 18 63 159 567 177
VCDI 18 29 72 1429 7609


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