Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-10-26

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29005 364 136 75 21
VODI 140 102 63 63 27
ODI 47 37 33 53 44
CDI 29 36 61 83 77
VCDI 26 63 151 459 6224
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28707 341 228 103 16
VODI 138 114 131 72 12
ODI 59 31 87 134 31
CDI 18 41 47 198 102
VCDI 0 16 84 500 6209
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28637 304 159 168 14
VODI 231 105 71 74 24
ODI 82 80 65 88 39
CDI 42 67 46 141 103
VCDI 5 29 70 569 6206
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28405 294 173 162 19
VODI 406 90 62 86 21
ODI 135 103 60 79 30
CDI 45 68 49 169 106
VCDI 6 30 67 544 6210

Date: 2011-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28394 222 139 109 36
VODI 412 255 64 53 23
ODI 45 119 58 63 49
CDI 10 63 72 117 146
VCDI 1 19 36 502 6412
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28225 238 147 126 42
VODI 519 214 51 43 34
ODI 96 120 65 70 42
CDI 21 76 69 154 127
VCDI 1 30 37 451 6421

Date: 2011-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27345 236 163 192 3
VODI 553 97 66 148 13
ODI 299 166 66 137 31
CDI 78 60 59 264 60
VCDI 42 73 115 755 6398
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27434 272 170 229 8
VODI 554 131 50 142 12
ODI 188 128 84 169 32
CDI 70 23 52 241 82
VCDI 71 78 113 715 6371

Date: 2011-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 26997 571 340 239 26
VODI 126 152 139 124 33
ODI 26 161 127 114 41
CDI 2 152 239 165 80
VCDI 0 20 139 896 6510
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 26571 389 310 255 42
VODI 462 236 107 100 30
ODI 110 279 243 102 50
CDI 7 120 188 269 95
VCDI 1 32 136 812 6473


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