Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-10-05

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30144 285 178 118 16
VODI 64 91 128 143 69
ODI 3 32 70 210 207
CDI 0 41 33 184 460
VCDI 0 0 10 405 4528
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29808 222 147 104 0
VODI 40 71 90 80 6
ODI 25 42 84 153 27
CDI 6 46 120 254 84
VCDI 0 28 57 681 5244
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29831 247 111 134 4
VODI 18 40 70 120 13
ODI 12 20 56 119 41
CDI 5 31 67 215 97
VCDI 3 28 48 699 5390
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29757 194 84 93 4
VODI 74 73 58 158 7
ODI 20 34 72 112 22
CDI 12 32 68 317 67
VCDI 6 33 70 607 5445

Date: 2011-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29730 227 127 96 18
VODI 64 44 74 85 14
ODI 10 20 64 94 30
CDI 1 29 78 193 91
VCDI 0 48 62 919 5301
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29669 147 75 75 18
VODI 103 100 78 81 17
ODI 23 36 75 86 19
CDI 8 33 92 197 76
VCDI 2 52 85 948 5324

Date: 2011-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29141 322 162 86 8
VODI 73 85 111 94 5
ODI 16 52 90 104 13
CDI 1 41 89 128 56
VCDI 0 12 121 722 5887
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29047 257 116 76 9
VODI 141 127 127 90 4
ODI 29 54 94 97 11
CDI 14 56 98 131 48
VCDI 0 18 138 740 5897

Date: 2011-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28978 399 185 99 32
VODI 54 80 114 56 34
ODI 3 33 106 68 51
CDI 0 14 62 110 91
VCDI 0 3 110 615 6122
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28881 285 103 75 38
VODI 129 136 152 62 31
ODI 24 47 87 66 40
CDI 1 46 108 96 84
VCDI 0 15 127 649 6137


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