Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-08-31

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29817 719 692 909 660
VODI 2 39 157 217 1339
ODI 0 1 60 176 1199
CDI 0 5 22 26 1376
VCDI 0 0 0 3 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30019 657 545 646 814
VODI 27 96 216 241 1323
ODI 0 6 75 147 1478
CDI 0 5 8 2 1111
VCDI 0 0 0 3 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30048 685 478 735 624
VODI 22 134 252 278 1356
ODI 0 21 98 267 1299
CDI 0 7 9 48 1051
VCDI 0 2 3 2 0
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29966 722 584 772 686
VODI 104 106 176 232 1623
ODI 0 11 59 242 1435
CDI 0 10 21 82 586
VCDI 0 0 0 2 0

Date: 2011-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30059 717 506 614 517
VODI 31 89 243 323 1426
ODI 0 22 80 408 1241
CDI 0 4 13 40 1082
VCDI 0 1 1 2 0
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30018 730 593 697 719
VODI 72 76 177 249 1549
ODI 0 21 59 342 1248
CDI 0 6 14 96 750
VCDI 0 0 0 3 0

Date: 2011-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30017 844 529 322 568
VODI 17 75 323 278 1474
ODI 0 15 102 201 1032
CDI 0 18 44 186 1372
VCDI 0 0 1 1 0
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29981 850 616 419 702
VODI 53 70 244 196 1272
ODI 0 28 117 176 1099
CDI 0 4 21 193 1147
VCDI 0 0 1 4 226

Date: 2011-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30333 515 493 298 382
VODI 25 66 347 348 1149
ODI 0 2 129 162 932
CDI 0 1 60 149 2012
VCDI 0 0 4 6 6
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 30262 535 531 411 467
VODI 96 46 294 255 866
ODI 0 2 134 126 1030
CDI 0 1 73 170 1321
VCDI 0 0 1 1 797


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