Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-08-10

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28180 818 762 730 641
VODI 3 67 162 513 1522
ODI 0 50 48 147 1345
CDI 0 15 36 57 2159
VCDI 0 1 3 9 151
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28478 910 862 571 689
VODI 2 83 166 310 1640
ODI 0 71 149 113 1253
CDI 0 6 36 22 2042
VCDI 0 0 11 3 2
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28818 713 777 670 370
VODI 10 91 194 313 1612
ODI 0 48 110 163 1358
CDI 0 2 25 56 2072
VCDI 0 5 4 6 2
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28813 733 822 791 524
VODI 15 61 143 201 1359
ODI 0 50 105 131 1478
CDI 0 14 39 80 1992
VCDI 0 1 1 5 61

Date: 2011-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28777 1122 785 367 719
VODI 10 168 157 112 1598
ODI 0 118 87 37 1148
CDI 0 27 19 9 2132
VCDI 0 2 6 4 15
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28782 1111 822 418 757
VODI 5 151 99 60 1434
ODI 0 123 83 24 1433
CDI 0 52 48 27 1862
VCDI 0 0 2 0 126

Date: 2011-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29219 887 654 561 799
VODI 0 72 238 271 1391
ODI 0 19 160 165 1119
CDI 0 8 44 26 1783
VCDI 0 0 1 0 2
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29217 873 717 693 719
VODI 2 84 176 163 1627
ODI 0 20 113 104 970
CDI 0 9 90 63 1710
VCDI 0 0 1 0 68

Date: 2011-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29521 708 580 978 811
VODI 0 35 115 304 1380
ODI 0 8 31 197 1147
CDI 0 0 13 27 1561
VCDI 0 0 0 1 2
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29521 707 583 1022 676
VODI 0 30 98 249 1577
ODI 0 13 34 157 977
CDI 0 1 24 78 1620
VCDI 0 0 0 1 51


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