Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-08-03

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28625 715 512 297 212
VODI 174 198 272 417 876
ODI 27 40 63 141 1456
CDI 17 37 114 116 2839
VCDI 0 14 1 0 256
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28335 518 617 950 452
VODI 28 105 236 482 1339
ODI 0 42 50 119 1181
CDI 0 18 28 219 2421
VCDI 0 7 7 1 264
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28444 794 675 455 491
VODI 5 78 269 538 1472
ODI 0 46 34 149 1324
CDI 0 20 51 80 2326
VCDI 0 5 8 1 154
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28381 693 684 583 828
VODI 68 180 260 426 1037
ODI 0 37 25 126 1129
CDI 0 28 60 87 2346
VCDI 0 5 8 1 427

Date: 2011-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28054 927 956 643 590
VODI 0 63 153 419 1350
ODI 0 53 69 185 1558
CDI 0 13 34 55 2166
VCDI 0 3 9 2 117
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27980 800 877 742 876
VODI 74 187 235 333 1447
ODI 0 54 63 162 1326
CDI 0 15 37 65 1964
VCDI 0 3 9 2 168

Date: 2011-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28763 729 610 780 731
VODI 17 45 145 269 1647
ODI 0 46 168 135 1356
CDI 0 6 40 14 1902
VCDI 0 10 3 1 2
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28627 705 594 770 862
VODI 153 68 167 303 1086
ODI 0 49 177 105 1733
CDI 0 10 26 20 1821
VCDI 0 4 2 1 136

Date: 2011-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28619 702 806 798 727
VODI 9 99 149 221 1600
ODI 0 25 93 149 1230
CDI 0 2 10 41 2121
VCDI 0 9 3 4 2
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28509 672 780 756 898
VODI 119 120 170 268 1108
ODI 0 33 100 156 1702
CDI 0 8 9 32 1864
VCDI 0 4 2 1 108


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