Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-07-27

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28134 896 425 223 109
VODI 256 137 231 279 639
ODI 21 35 144 212 1642
CDI 0 6 38 221 2189
VCDI 0 0 14 4 1564
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28309 651 612 316 151
VODI 151 189 301 437 894
ODI 7 38 147 114 1448
CDI 0 2 40 194 2833
VCDI 0 0 14 1 570
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28506 810 520 188 218
VODI 135 219 310 346 857
ODI 3 58 134 158 1404
CDI 0 20 104 163 2970
VCDI 0 0 14 1 281
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28454 811 520 195 446
VODI 189 240 344 438 896
ODI 1 27 68 44 848
CDI 0 29 136 178 3000
VCDI 0 0 14 1 540

Date: 2011-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28625 583 431 364 455
VODI 172 236 280 373 955
ODI 12 71 66 210 1262
CDI 15 29 99 139 2777
VCDI 0 13 1 2 249
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28550 587 449 390 618
VODI 254 255 299 459 922
ODI 5 56 37 83 1061
CDI 15 23 92 155 2671
VCDI 0 11 0 1 426

Date: 2011-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28266 739 821 635 453
VODI 35 262 289 415 1272
ODI 0 77 49 256 1032
CDI 0 20 34 252 2309
VCDI 0 12 1 1 189
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28153 798 858 698 679
VODI 148 219 252 360 978
ODI 0 53 42 170 934
CDI 0 32 42 330 2380
VCDI 0 8 0 1 284

Date: 2011-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28180 818 762 730 641
VODI 3 67 162 513 1522
ODI 0 50 48 147 1345
CDI 0 15 36 57 2159
VCDI 0 1 3 9 151
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 28105 761 789 925 848
VODI 78 125 136 310 1181
ODI 0 56 42 125 1065
CDI 0 9 43 89 2479
VCDI 0 0 1 7 245


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