Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-07-06

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 27736 1 1 0 0
VODI 1409 0 0 0 0
ODI 1171 0 0 0 0
CDI 2026 0 0 0 0
VCDI 5075 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25848 817 503 322 732
VODI 341 179 230 230 451
ODI 24 102 235 92 565
CDI 11 30 102 103 2707
VCDI 0 3 8 26 3758
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 26060 832 641 388 523
VODI 242 189 406 265 282
ODI 0 81 151 145 474
CDI 1 4 70 144 2969
VCDI 0 4 13 23 3512
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 26022 843 727 441 596
VODI 277 216 322 240 274
ODI 4 44 165 163 855
CDI 0 3 54 97 2551
VCDI 0 4 13 24 3484

Date: 2011-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 26583 668 739 339 460
VODI 331 94 275 241 399
ODI 23 64 122 104 474
CDI 0 3 85 122 3109
VCDI 0 4 13 23 3144
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 26518 684 793 384 524
VODI 370 80 219 206 359
ODI 49 57 163 138 1169
CDI 0 8 46 77 2202
VCDI 0 4 13 24 3332

Date: 2011-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 26971 748 725 402 459
VODI 257 122 220 191 410
ODI 32 85 141 173 985
CDI 0 2 29 60 2587
VCDI 0 27 16 26 2751
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 26882 770 723 418 561
VODI 331 114 264 224 539
ODI 47 69 111 145 1753
CDI 0 4 14 33 1502
VCDI 0 27 19 32 2837

Date: 2011-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29640 1 0 1 2
VODI 991 0 0 0 0
ODI 2001 0 0 0 0
CDI 2048 0 0 0 0
VCDI 2735 0 0 0 0
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 29590 1 0 1 2
VODI 1801 0 0 0 0
ODI 1846 0 0 0 0
CDI 1509 0 0 0 0
VCDI 2669 0 0 0 0


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