Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-06-29

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24337 775 440 456 476
VODI 855 360 238 185 319
ODI 107 217 198 212 663
CDI 1 12 134 371 1380
VCDI 0 3 14 45 5621
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25325 821 403 372 581
VODI 542 260 88 228 300
ODI 45 180 273 270 513
CDI 1 16 142 232 1287
VCDI 0 3 17 60 5460
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25785 426 382 718 306
VODI 547 209 161 287 241
ODI 29 98 284 413 406
CDI 0 9 124 252 1628
VCDI 0 4 13 62 5035
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25636 497 435 805 366
VODI 691 146 185 310 193
ODI 34 79 226 326 365
CDI 0 21 106 240 1805
VCDI 0 3 12 51 4887

Date: 2011-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25640 754 564 322 673
VODI 302 217 174 228 437
ODI 17 97 171 267 557
CDI 0 13 80 205 2084
VCDI 0 3 18 41 4555
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25407 786 590 364 821
VODI 527 205 184 233 327
ODI 25 70 151 235 504
CDI 0 20 66 195 2266
VCDI 0 3 16 36 4388

Date: 2011-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25979 870 494 359 592
VODI 336 164 346 236 335
ODI 3 69 146 183 572
CDI 1 8 65 100 2834
VCDI 0 4 11 21 3691
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25926 929 610 441 669
VODI 371 132 272 206 305
ODI 21 43 126 170 762
CDI 1 7 42 59 2801
VCDI 0 4 12 23 3487

Date: 2011-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25907 1035 774 462 511
VODI 139 132 435 252 360
ODI 1 21 108 169 449
CDI 1 1 45 128 3162
VCDI 0 5 13 21 3288
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 25853 1040 894 521 556
VODI 188 140 330 229 321
ODI 6 8 103 187 840
CDI 1 1 32 69 2781
VCDI 0 5 16 26 3272


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