Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-06-15

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 22422 1053 669 492 235
VODI 311 206 410 359 212
ODI 202 285 444 487 369
CDI 107 191 367 622 1150
VCDI 27 29 42 136 6592
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2011-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23161 965 490 336 455
VODI 432 359 404 306 328
ODI 184 318 424 287 460
CDI 19 149 354 478 1364
VCDI 0 1 62 236 5847
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23273 1004 580 425 595
VODI 293 271 308 259 281
ODI 184 307 390 244 394
CDI 38 180 316 384 1268
VCDI 8 30 140 331 5916

Date: 2011-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23595 813 424 228 665
VODI 647 363 326 296 295
ODI 193 228 306 208 429
CDI 9 94 329 483 1371
VCDI 0 1 19 150 5947
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23648 820 517 354 773
VODI 438 265 274 186 249
ODI 302 287 240 192 437
CDI 56 110 280 396 1230
VCDI 0 17 93 237 6018

Date: 2011-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23935 770 449 325 743
VODI 619 371 347 213 334
ODI 195 241 289 206 520
CDI 7 77 170 345 1257
VCDI 0 4 21 56 5925
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 23783 840 514 382 857
VODI 681 259 329 169 297
ODI 217 190 172 173 406
CDI 75 164 214 306 1173
VCDI 0 10 47 115 6046

Date: 2011-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24454 870 549 527 564
VODI 637 243 137 153 327
ODI 205 219 166 178 570
CDI 4 32 158 343 1468
VCDI 0 3 14 68 5530
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 24140 846 538 497 568
VODI 838 254 149 173 316
ODI 278 179 136 125 446
CDI 44 86 190 392 1305
VCDI 0 2 11 82 5824


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