Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-05-18

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 20635 665 440 331 475
VODI 229 201 147 237 234
ODI 129 184 159 288 402
CDI 81 133 189 447 909
VCDI 78 117 221 989 9499
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 20850 425 436 432 362
VODI 190 84 153 266 177
ODI 93 69 209 232 411
CDI 76 31 213 549 740
VCDI 95 96 270 1331 9629
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 20768 538 502 194 309
VODI 190 79 198 265 205
ODI 143 107 194 288 303
CDI 52 75 209 516 720
VCDI 55 111 408 1620 9370
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 20743 534 556 310 402
VODI 163 94 193 231 198
ODI 148 119 189 265 295
CDI 72 59 167 494 622
VCDI 82 104 406 1583 9390

Date: 2011-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 20959 541 303 152 269
VODI 158 169 191 199 193
ODI 102 173 145 255 380
CDI 69 79 173 541 912
VCDI 48 109 232 1162 9905
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 20895 577 360 239 412
VODI 167 160 157 201 245
ODI 120 158 134 229 432
CDI 65 53 142 392 722
VCDI 89 123 251 1248 9848

Date: 2011-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 21269 289 296 255 328
VODI 233 132 124 202 266
ODI 94 176 137 256 454
CDI 93 117 157 790 909
VCDI 33 146 159 951 9553
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 21218 288 322 309 506
VODI 225 175 107 208 291
ODI 89 141 153 309 489
CDI 81 81 97 528 924
VCDI 109 175 194 1100 9300

Date: 2011-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 21143 629 364 88 194
VODI 205 273 287 144 231
ODI 99 147 288 286 441
CDI 99 146 306 733 1062
VCDI 43 150 292 855 8914
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 21068 663 478 170 405
VODI 189 243 257 153 313
ODI 109 141 254 292 363
CDI 86 111 231 591 1041
VCDI 137 187 317 900 8720


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