Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2011-02-02

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2011-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19537 318 239 183 63
VODI 156 102 132 107 30
ODI 56 66 94 172 46
CDI 17 55 112 438 189
VCDI 5 88 254 1701 13259
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19236 297 217 262 94
VODI 113 71 86 160 33
ODI 49 37 49 179 39
CDI 36 49 72 264 124
VCDI 53 68 210 2337 13284
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2011-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19266 366 239 335 71
VODI 68 87 86 134 29
ODI 37 36 80 163 29
CDI 40 36 96 280 100
VCDI 68 96 247 1676 13754
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19266 399 303 475 92
VODI 91 59 78 136 46
ODI 43 45 68 162 49
CDI 39 45 84 268 142
VCDI 40 73 215 1547 13654

Date: 2011-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19629 343 202 308 59
VODI 105 69 64 125 48
ODI 58 44 59 169 86
CDI 49 58 83 332 168
VCDI 80 57 159 1461 13604
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19640 370 232 381 104
VODI 116 43 63 147 79
ODI 69 46 37 177 113
CDI 42 55 65 307 200
VCDI 54 57 170 1383 13469

Date: 2011-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19357 312 342 297 66
VODI 126 47 106 156 49
ODI 74 51 66 157 70
CDI 55 48 120 383 276
VCDI 33 54 169 1342 13663
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19401 342 374 336 93
VODI 117 41 98 154 78
ODI 50 38 76 168 124
CDI 48 43 96 356 343
VCDI 29 48 159 1321 13486

Date: 2011-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19496 299 320 138 186
VODI 117 82 89 86 103
ODI 48 59 107 87 127
CDI 28 82 147 207 375
VCDI 36 112 301 838 13949
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
water 19517 330 339 175 204
VODI 94 55 91 92 120
ODI 45 63 87 90 198
CDI 34 66 137 174 459
VCDI 35 120 310 825 13759


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