Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2010-12-08

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2010-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20963 480 235 465 54
VODI 108 108 96 135 33
ODI 47 70 67 139 50
CDI 39 78 91 253 130
VCDI 64 123 207 1360 12024
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20883 472 317 277 30
VODI 133 78 127 75 10
ODI 70 61 97 93 26
CDI 56 56 98 170 84
VCDI 84 126 344 1445 12207
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2010-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20763 478 362 341 37
VODI 116 80 100 143 14
ODI 49 76 101 221 30
CDI 39 60 76 303 141
VCDI 36 107 206 1275 12265
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20735 481 371 366 31
VODI 122 62 94 123 19
ODI 51 75 80 172 29
CDI 33 55 73 230 127
VCDI 62 128 227 1392 12281

Date: 2010-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20491 488 302 423 21
VODI 132 98 103 180 17
ODI 61 66 87 212 30
CDI 55 60 52 339 123
VCDI 49 104 259 1493 12174
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20493 519 340 505 29
VODI 122 62 75 161 22
ODI 59 71 76 183 19
CDI 37 49 43 314 121
VCDI 77 115 269 1484 12174

Date: 2010-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20033 645 290 508 7
VODI 93 142 104 169 32
ODI 47 64 82 167 45
CDI 34 56 112 266 157
VCDI 46 273 388 1563 12096
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20064 694 333 575 12
VODI 67 104 88 173 32
ODI 39 55 78 186 44
CDI 30 54 115 256 158
VCDI 53 273 362 1483 12091

Date: 2010-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20193 653 337 117 143
VODI 136 142 147 100 49
ODI 76 97 121 114 75
CDI 32 108 207 242 162
VCDI 109 168 565 1487 11839
observations
water VODI ODI CDI VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 water 20173 674 406 141 141
VODI 128 105 106 104 55
ODI 60 103 94 114 58
CDI 39 106 164 199 171
VCDI 146 180 607 1502 11843


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