Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-12-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78501 13199 846 1362 667 222 115 0
OW 64 752 201 972 697 67 17 0
VODI 0 363 188 902 965 352 26 0
ODI 0 103 93 480 725 516 10 0
CDI 0 55 46 381 923 1182 59 5
VCDI 0 30 36 292 1361 8666 17107 54500
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78610 12618 605 925 498 445 178 0
OW 62 652 212 937 536 374 21 0
VODI 0 369 255 843 653 628 19 0
ODI 0 105 103 544 751 596 40 0
CDI 0 50 38 366 690 1002 228 21
VCDI 0 27 47 378 1403 8308 17936 54975
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76640 13600 630 948 249 250 166 0
OW 62 586 216 877 210 59 7 0
VODI 0 162 147 1148 967 146 32 0
ODI 0 28 37 365 1239 582 109 0
CDI 0 7 27 215 1086 1950 375 3
VCDI 0 2 6 159 1200 7757 20115 54684
...date precedes bulletin

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76272 12602 648 852 245 208 219 0
OW 96 523 190 773 307 55 20 0
VODI 0 279 128 814 830 141 16 0
ODI 0 43 60 431 1258 261 11 0
CDI 0 10 44 156 1280 1472 198 16
VCDI 0 0 6 307 1095 9031 21291 54860
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76289 12649 649 909 257 220 224 0
OW 79 473 186 720 320 44 17 0
VODI 0 270 123 810 872 136 15 0
ODI 0 54 60 409 1182 287 13 0
CDI 0 11 47 176 1273 1242 157 22
VCDI 0 0 11 309 1111 9239 21329 54854

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75338 12928 622 892 287 195 139 0
OW 92 575 144 681 293 54 15 0
VODI 0 267 74 795 629 155 21 0
ODI 0 113 66 479 1126 333 46 0
CDI 0 45 33 172 1317 1089 197 106
VCDI 0 35 44 287 1334 8023 19758 58249
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75333 12982 642 956 298 202 136 0
OW 97 533 118 646 303 54 18 0
VODI 0 252 80 727 690 170 13 0
ODI 0 108 64 498 1028 360 49 0
CDI 0 50 31 199 1371 992 241 102
VCDI 0 38 48 280 1296 8071 19719 58253

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76169 12600 538 695 221 207 92 0
OW 64 286 153 649 163 18 7 0
VODI 0 121 51 900 599 53 16 0
ODI 0 44 30 274 1463 218 29 0
CDI 0 28 43 173 1185 1901 125 4
VCDI 0 0 5 120 621 7432 24476 55275
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76158 11996 521 794 327 243 113 0
OW 75 538 112 548 210 63 24 0
VODI 0 310 66 683 615 181 35 0
ODI 0 97 30 297 1012 414 64 0
CDI 0 75 19 196 1012 1216 370 5
VCDI 0 63 72 293 1076 7712 24139 55274

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76132 12462 424 533 185 136 137 0
OW 68 616 213 425 159 11 23 0
VODI 0 290 140 689 508 74 15 0
ODI 0 64 62 423 894 167 21 0
CDI 0 43 52 295 1080 1135 159 7
VCDI 0 12 22 335 1555 8144 22466 56872
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76111 11830 337 552 273 159 191 0
OW 89 770 156 291 160 61 17 0
VODI 0 621 176 490 408 161 22 0
ODI 0 152 107 513 750 253 48 0
CDI 0 52 68 333 846 680 225 22
VCDI 0 62 69 521 1944 8353 22318 56857

Date: :

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75675 12385 378 474 155 114 183 0
OW 80 879 168 401 134 7 33 0
VODI 0 471 125 535 431 61 23 0
ODI 0 135 72 339 840 195 25 0
CDI 0 95 29 239 889 895 157 16
VCDI 0 48 86 415 1397 7845 22748 57871
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75645 11666 293 430 201 127 243 0
OW 106 898 139 326 116 57 35 0
VODI 4 795 155 438 304 118 71 0
ODI 0 313 93 396 534 208 70 0
CDI 0 192 47 269 914 499 194 70
VCDI 0 149 131 544 1777 8108 22556 57817


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