Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 292 2923 441 623 33 0 0 0
OW 2 28 106 786 288 31 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 541 1411 407 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 93 1980 894 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 917 7061 1199 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 1545 8207 2204
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 152 3254 434 575 49 1 0 0
OW 0 64 112 825 413 58 0 0
VODI 0 13 11 577 1650 530 1 0
ODI 0 1 10 97 1668 921 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 684 9125 1363 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 3138 6071 178
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120 3262 619 627 34 0 0 0
OW 0 18 103 814 194 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1057 830 59 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 153 2981 620 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 712 10021 992 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 2341 6416 34
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 799 3286 286 441 42 0 0 0
OW 0 116 154 852 226 6 0 0
VODI 0 10 59 1178 1037 70 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 172 2653 646 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 73 1528 9873 650 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 49 3997 3870 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 799 3252 291 494 57 0 0 0
OW 0 144 150 753 241 14 1 0
VODI 0 16 58 1200 1005 61 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 199 2558 629 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 70 1618 9831 526 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 4057 3995 0

Date: 2023-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1549 2610 317 474 66 0 0 0
OW 0 175 193 996 322 18 0 0
VODI 0 54 80 974 1409 84 4 0
ODI 0 3 11 147 2599 410 10 0
CDI 0 0 8 99 3446 7854 571 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 45 4255 3299 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1549 2558 313 533 80 0 0 0
OW 0 239 197 883 342 32 0 0
VODI 0 43 83 1019 1408 69 4 0
ODI 0 2 9 158 2521 412 9 0
CDI 0 0 7 97 3486 7797 529 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 4311 3342 0

Date: 2023-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1586 3208 482 442 49 0 0 0
OW 0 45 192 857 114 2 0 0
VODI 0 9 7 1132 753 39 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 97 4925 438 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 1558 10502 506 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 57 1959 3072 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1586 2829 372 568 130 1 0 0
OW 0 337 209 828 343 52 0 0
VODI 0 82 90 928 1584 116 3 0
ODI 0 12 5 139 1969 817 10 0
CDI 0 3 12 103 3328 8136 723 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 102 3818 2847 0

Date: 2023-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1543 3438 527 660 75 0 0 0
OW 0 108 119 855 214 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 10 1133 995 18 0 0
ODI 0 6 10 170 4818 1495 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 1659 8614 1467 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 154 2021 1895 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1543 3107 390 655 214 1 0 0
OW 0 374 188 841 418 13 0 0
VODI 0 60 69 1077 1769 57 0 0
ODI 0 18 8 185 2374 817 0 0
CDI 0 6 11 125 2987 7755 1241 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 153 3505 2121 0

Date: 2023-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1566 3964 453 557 81 1 0 0
OW 0 245 231 912 204 2 0 0
VODI 0 29 43 1325 1029 31 0 0
ODI 0 4 14 297 5784 1347 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 86 2617 7355 402 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 115 2405 982 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1566 3684 364 573 282 7 0 0
OW 0 448 228 948 329 2 0 0
VODI 0 78 113 1198 1612 45 0 0
ODI 0 29 24 313 2927 885 0 0
CDI 0 3 12 145 4547 6159 399 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 133 4043 985 0


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