Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-06-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77175 17121 1478 3985 927 388 0 0
OW 20 235 219 2115 1271 248 0 0
VODI 0 55 97 1230 2842 539 3 0
ODI 0 25 38 420 2809 1342 60 1
CDI 0 15 8 320 3056 7937 2966 43
VCDI 0 0 0 53 1194 6154 29748 20911
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77087 17546 1450 4849 1366 0 0 0
OW 18 315 198 2334 1660 15 0 0
VODI 0 129 106 1270 2928 172 8 0
ODI 0 48 77 490 2904 879 83 0
CDI 0 20 35 429 3809 7329 3101 0
VCDI 0 0 1 55 1662 6987 28985 18703
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77172 18668 1577 5193 1134 0 0 0
OW 18 146 225 2511 1054 17 0 0
VODI 0 16 61 1867 3004 68 5 0
ODI 0 10 9 428 4731 643 15 0
CDI 0 1 0 126 4177 9340 611 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1137 8333 24946 19805
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78033 18849 1691 6085 733 13 0 0
OW 17 251 209 2645 1136 33 3 0
VODI 0 58 101 1534 3135 109 24 0
ODI 0 22 14 455 3827 969 57 0
CDI 0 4 3 216 4293 9519 973 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 823 10167 16864 24172
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78033 18841 1684 6384 871 19 0 0
OW 17 251 209 2357 1034 33 1 0
VODI 0 65 105 1511 3042 112 29 0
ODI 0 20 16 474 3741 883 56 0
CDI 0 7 4 210 4490 9745 1008 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 769 10018 16827 24172

Date: 2023-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78803 19548 1797 6140 674 37 1 0
OW 13 289 202 2332 1255 91 15 0
VODI 0 130 111 1295 2961 266 45 0
ODI 0 25 40 494 3276 1287 88 1
CDI 0 1 4 371 4233 9441 1108 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 878 10735 18953 20108
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78803 19494 1781 6400 841 60 3 0
OW 13 332 218 2076 1150 82 14 0
VODI 0 140 111 1307 2846 272 52 0
ODI 0 21 39 480 3241 1182 94 1
CDI 0 6 5 369 4369 9643 1074 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 830 10618 18973 20108

Date: 2023-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80794 20717 1977 4474 340 9 0 0
OW 11 87 242 2171 390 35 4 0
VODI 0 13 18 2208 1839 70 9 0
ODI 0 3 4 340 6290 663 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 3738 12254 699 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1318 8672 25013 12579
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80795 20245 1857 5695 680 60 6 0
OW 10 387 223 1755 1141 123 7 0
VODI 0 148 112 1103 2470 385 29 0
ODI 0 29 39 379 3097 1344 65 0
CDI 0 11 10 306 4670 8727 2847 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1857 11064 22793 12579

Date: 2023-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79688 23339 2033 4576 337 11 0 0
OW 12 81 167 2157 553 53 1 0
VODI 0 18 19 1564 2575 140 4 0
ODI 0 5 1 399 4779 1506 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 100 3427 12277 1265 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 234 12369 25027 8315
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79691 22797 1832 5691 923 80 7 0
OW 9 446 244 1326 1011 177 9 0
VODI 0 136 94 962 2317 599 43 0
ODI 0 55 36 389 2879 1440 74 0
CDI 0 9 14 428 4332 10502 2831 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 443 13558 23349 8315

Date: 2023-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82321 23063 1710 3391 311 12 0 0
OW 10 208 246 2162 660 53 0 0
VODI 0 13 38 1384 2808 449 10 0
ODI 0 5 0 352 4582 1433 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 161 3576 14191 1439 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 208 14105 21524 6610
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82323 22682 1627 4429 976 114 10 0
OW 8 404 226 1220 990 293 11 0
VODI 0 127 78 1009 2237 821 48 0
ODI 0 67 41 406 2899 1220 61 0
CDI 0 9 22 385 4523 12586 1094 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 520 15209 21762 6610


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