Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 247 1691 152 151 3 0 0 0
OW 0 57 63 310 50 2 0 0
VODI 0 57 40 343 273 26 0 0
ODI 0 16 19 235 565 175 26 0
CDI 0 1 8 287 1040 1803 427 1
VCDI 0 0 0 49 518 2983 17285 3179
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 46 1794 159 175 11 0 0 0
OW 0 76 62 307 129 2 0 0
VODI 0 52 57 314 322 72 2 0
ODI 0 9 26 212 519 273 10 0
CDI 0 10 20 262 1297 2163 703 28
VCDI 0 0 0 44 1187 4102 15979 1658
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 302 1843 126 119 14 0 0 0
OW 0 65 123 328 103 3 0 0
VODI 0 9 20 435 345 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 195 711 263 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 124 832 3690 1024 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 3231 16770 1277
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 347 1910 118 173 11 0 0 0
OW 0 111 120 365 72 1 0 0
VODI 0 9 55 425 362 11 2 0
ODI 0 0 4 233 799 192 32 0
CDI 0 0 2 173 1322 3768 1020 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 120 3702 12546 4070
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 347 1950 132 239 17 0 0 0
OW 0 65 104 292 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 55 406 329 15 2 0
ODI 0 0 5 239 672 198 36 0
CDI 0 0 3 193 1429 3658 984 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 171 3803 12578 4070

Date: 2023-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 303 1814 142 253 23 0 0 0
OW 0 147 106 352 132 6 0 0
VODI 0 49 76 404 398 34 0 0
ODI 0 2 31 326 900 277 15 0
CDI 0 0 1 221 1678 3448 1722 0
VCDI 0 0 0 69 247 2975 13681 2250
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 303 1873 160 305 35 0 0 0
OW 0 87 84 307 112 9 0 0
VODI 0 51 72 374 393 36 0 0
ODI 0 1 37 333 793 289 12 0
CDI 0 0 3 246 1740 3291 1729 37
VCDI 0 0 0 60 305 3115 13677 2213

Date: 2023-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95 2163 243 342 29 0 0 0
OW 0 47 118 491 75 3 0 0
VODI 0 4 22 742 612 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 214 2022 259 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 1965 3604 215 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 1481 15728 1479
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95 1972 172 432 69 0 0 0
OW 0 131 68 344 116 16 0 0
VODI 0 97 92 355 467 72 1 0
ODI 0 14 48 470 1007 250 29 0
CDI 0 0 4 220 2843 2796 1982 175
VCDI 0 0 0 0 264 2242 13935 1304

Date: 2023-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 242 2019 253 512 61 0 0 0
OW 0 78 116 556 238 17 0 0
VODI 0 19 53 575 893 56 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 299 1796 466 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 91 2128 3083 151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 139 2249 12688 3292
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 242 1768 164 561 96 0 0 0
OW 0 169 60 353 187 33 0 0
VODI 0 135 116 348 595 82 17 0
ODI 0 45 83 503 1119 415 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 254 2801 3779 3558 19
VCDI 0 0 0 14 457 1562 9231 3273

Date: 2023-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 244 2127 266 575 92 9 0 0
OW 0 144 96 572 276 31 0 0
VODI 0 58 65 612 994 114 2 0
ODI 0 2 16 325 1774 533 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 182 2464 2557 208 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 181 3541 7250 6731
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 244 1848 201 626 161 9 0 0
OW 0 139 59 315 243 51 6 0
VODI 0 224 92 407 646 157 37 0
ODI 0 113 76 476 1117 452 59 0
CDI 0 7 15 427 3107 4895 2782 2038
VCDI 0 0 0 15 507 1221 4617 4693


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