Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 391 31 38 10 0 0 0
OW 0 24 6 28 32 1 0 0
VODI 0 14 11 47 72 4 0 0
ODI 0 5 8 34 123 36 5 0
CDI 0 6 2 41 281 533 139 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 323 4365 12459 12996
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 450 33 55 5 0 0 0
OW 0 28 17 68 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 3 98 43 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 13 41 118 17 2 0
CDI 0 0 5 55 445 399 158 0
VCDI 0 0 0 49 731 4749 10757 13690
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 542 76 98 9 0 0 0
OW 0 3 13 178 11 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 129 161 12 1 0
ODI 0 0 2 81 269 33 15 0
CDI 0 0 7 95 429 1074 231 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 373 2692 13634 11895
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 684 90 161 8 0 0 0
OW 0 14 13 192 3 2 0 0
VODI 0 8 9 127 91 12 1 0
ODI 0 10 7 90 259 50 7 0
CDI 0 18 21 148 702 1045 90 0
VCDI 0 0 0 41 543 4194 14978 8464
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 687 94 193 8 0 0 0
OW 0 12 9 157 4 3 0 0
VODI 0 10 9 121 73 11 1 0
ODI 0 8 8 99 220 39 7 0
CDI 0 17 20 149 762 1064 89 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 539 4186 14979 8464

Date: 2023-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 815 102 200 6 0 0 0
OW 0 32 20 137 4 7 0 0
VODI 0 16 13 143 105 16 2 0
ODI 0 18 17 107 273 70 12 0
CDI 0 24 32 192 804 1032 219 0
VCDI 0 0 0 114 1603 6084 15948 3914
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 827 104 198 6 1 0 0
OW 0 18 18 115 3 4 0 0
VODI 0 20 11 146 81 18 2 0
ODI 0 16 20 116 231 69 15 0
CDI 0 24 31 213 799 993 216 0
VCDI 0 0 0 105 1675 6124 15948 3914

Date: 2023-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12 986 120 183 8 0 0 0
OW 0 56 50 187 10 1 0 0
VODI 0 36 20 277 146 19 4 0
ODI 0 12 17 138 398 70 28 0
CDI 0 3 7 132 712 1543 372 2
VCDI 0 0 0 84 358 4714 17928 3449
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12 939 100 191 7 0 0 0
OW 0 40 22 118 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 23 182 100 31 14 0
ODI 0 45 33 132 250 115 71 0
CDI 0 36 31 212 617 846 645 2
VCDI 0 2 5 166 649 5355 17602 3449

Date: 2023-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 1182 120 157 7 1 0 0
OW 0 64 31 202 22 7 0 0
VODI 0 41 44 192 162 34 7 0
ODI 0 11 16 186 324 102 36 0
CDI 0 4 12 140 713 1261 434 4
VCDI 0 0 0 113 532 5168 17463 3269
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 1061 71 106 5 0 0 0
OW 0 73 45 78 5 5 0 0
VODI 0 42 35 198 70 39 22 0
ODI 0 65 26 183 211 146 102 1
CDI 0 56 30 229 693 821 734 3
VCDI 0 5 16 196 776 5562 17082 3269

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35 1343 112 148 4 0 0 0
OW 0 99 36 152 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 54 239 170 14 23 0
ODI 0 25 19 213 314 153 82 0
CDI 0 15 14 232 716 1735 476 4
VCDI 0 0 3 163 588 4254 18256 2293
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35 1166 59 73 5 0 0 0
OW 0 103 37 54 40 0 6 0
VODI 0 77 59 193 78 25 39 0
ODI 0 90 29 249 202 187 112 0
CDI 0 92 33 369 786 1259 732 5
VCDI 0 26 21 209 707 4685 17948 2292


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