Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66960 16360 684 1198 326 35 4 0
OW 52 149 115 416 367 57 13 0
VODI 0 53 66 344 479 145 26 0
ODI 0 21 22 163 469 247 47 0
CDI 0 13 13 121 473 1167 597 0
VCDI 0 4 3 38 377 4278 6914 6284
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67408 16002 664 1254 389 41 6 0
OW 52 163 106 423 277 89 11 0
VODI 0 90 71 362 408 146 19 0
ODI 0 27 38 175 415 251 43 0
CDI 0 15 6 137 539 1135 561 0
VCDI 0 6 0 37 486 4961 7058 5229
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67967 15766 708 1287 252 29 0 0
OW 51 141 114 561 271 36 0 0
VODI 0 45 42 343 579 53 1 0
ODI 0 8 14 131 609 216 27 0
CDI 0 5 4 77 562 1129 324 0
VCDI 0 16 2 17 356 4278 7320 5759
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67671 16030 721 1291 285 30 27 0
OW 51 229 71 455 402 21 6 0
VODI 0 53 46 250 634 107 3 0
ODI 0 10 14 131 484 374 15 0
CDI 0 18 4 86 542 1019 351 0
VCDI 0 9 0 23 568 3926 7262 5881
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67671 16169 738 1334 307 33 27 0
OW 51 100 60 418 388 21 6 0
VODI 0 41 43 244 583 107 3 0
ODI 0 11 11 130 500 364 22 0
CDI 0 17 4 87 532 971 374 0
VCDI 0 11 0 23 605 3981 7232 5881

Date: 2023-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67495 15902 702 1354 458 88 14 0
OW 60 117 90 414 503 91 1 0
VODI 0 37 36 251 533 233 20 0
ODI 0 17 7 119 461 445 60 0
CDI 0 11 2 90 473 1240 542 0
VCDI 0 2 0 42 620 4109 6360 6101
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67495 15886 718 1427 604 96 14 0
OW 60 120 66 314 440 96 1 0
VODI 0 44 42 233 481 214 20 0
ODI 0 18 9 142 411 431 54 0
CDI 0 13 2 101 473 1290 562 0
VCDI 0 5 0 53 639 4079 6346 6101

Date: 2023-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67309 16120 707 1433 481 127 11 0
OW 59 113 63 370 484 83 1 0
VODI 0 47 38 218 615 220 40 0
ODI 0 23 13 123 491 424 70 0
CDI 0 17 1 84 395 1282 618 0
VCDI 0 0 0 74 624 3424 6789 6109
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67309 16057 714 1480 581 133 11 0
OW 59 124 54 324 451 80 3 0
VODI 0 79 35 194 563 209 35 0
ODI 0 35 18 126 470 380 62 0
CDI 0 25 1 88 396 1391 583 0
VCDI 0 0 0 90 629 3367 6835 6109

Date: 2023-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67390 16311 737 1372 404 123 10 0
OW 59 128 55 452 448 79 0 0
VODI 0 71 31 260 611 212 35 0
ODI 0 24 27 125 444 374 76 0
CDI 0 12 4 119 393 1119 506 0
VCDI 0 0 0 105 662 3866 6861 5595
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67390 16261 715 1425 475 126 9 0
OW 59 157 68 370 438 67 7 0
VODI 0 85 43 242 584 175 25 0
ODI 0 20 22 154 377 344 54 0
CDI 0 23 6 141 411 1255 604 0
VCDI 0 0 0 101 677 3806 6789 5595


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