Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 21 9 16 17 0 0 0
OW 0 2 1 18 16 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 18 33 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 33 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 39 63 3 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 224 3826 27666
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 40 0 20 9 0 0 0
OW 0 7 12 11 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 25 32 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 38 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 57 53 0 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 322 4254 27111
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 21 39 2 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 28 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 21 48 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 51 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 99 30 16 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 72 441 3502 27626
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 74 25 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 7 39 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 43 43 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 50 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 77 11 12 13
VCDI 0 0 0 7 158 888 5360 25210
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 74 24 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 6 35 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 35 38 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 50 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 80 12 8 17
VCDI 0 0 0 11 157 887 5364 25206

Date: 2023-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 82 23 63 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 2 56 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 3 54 30 1 0 0
ODI 0 8 9 57 42 28 1 0
CDI 0 1 5 79 46 170 62 5
VCDI 0 0 0 78 275 1928 12179 16769
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 78 15 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 9 54 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 4 72 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 0 54 47 31 10 0
CDI 0 3 14 74 50 179 93 6
VCDI 0 0 0 107 290 1917 12139 16768

Date: 2023-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 110 26 59 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 9 34 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 19 29 25 6 0 0
ODI 0 34 7 19 36 42 3 0
CDI 0 28 30 18 95 174 28 0
VCDI 0 19 24 83 333 2278 10290 18147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 111 19 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 17 47 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 14 52 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 10 36 18 17 1 0
CDI 0 43 25 23 57 145 74 0
VCDI 0 33 30 77 417 2338 10246 18147

Date: 2023-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 96 36 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 6 39 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 8 20 18 3 0 0
ODI 0 49 3 5 28 45 6 0
CDI 0 60 10 10 90 133 64 0
VCDI 0 29 19 59 326 1965 9054 19753
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 107 17 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 19 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 10 49 22 5 0 0
ODI 0 32 5 16 15 4 1 0
CDI 0 72 10 20 32 108 77 2
VCDI 0 44 21 49 404 2029 9046 19751


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