Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-03-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65739 16743 706 1189 359 50 0 0
OW 54 179 133 481 367 71 0 0
VODI 0 113 42 328 464 186 2 0
ODI 0 56 12 141 412 334 30 2
CDI 0 5 14 101 484 718 133 70
VCDI 0 0 0 48 435 4552 20699 71596
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65911 16667 628 1125 418 58 0 0
OW 56 187 143 430 280 83 17 0
VODI 0 35 42 405 432 144 74 0
ODI 0 5 8 174 473 293 107 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 509 737 414 59
VCDI 0 0 0 1 435 3539 17291 75809
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65911 16718 653 1142 417 53 0 0
OW 56 143 118 427 262 84 13 0
VODI 0 30 44 395 455 153 82 0
ODI 0 3 6 172 477 285 120 5
CDI 0 0 0 57 528 730 416 58
VCDI 0 0 0 1 408 3549 17272 75805

Date: 2023-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66068 16620 636 932 321 29 0 0
OW 54 138 155 639 248 40 0 0
VODI 0 16 37 461 535 119 8 0
ODI 0 5 4 171 553 234 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 555 843 223 122
VCDI 0 0 0 1 234 3733 18106 75157
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66068 16591 634 1168 473 61 1 0
OW 54 153 132 424 303 91 35 0
VODI 0 33 63 368 471 157 83 0
ODI 0 2 3 203 384 304 83 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 483 724 242 81
VCDI 0 0 0 4 332 3661 17914 75198

Date: 2023-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66274 16368 718 1186 343 71 0 0
OW 53 136 106 515 287 66 0 0
VODI 0 36 54 330 486 126 8 0
ODI 0 7 11 174 459 199 48 0
CDI 0 0 4 103 462 499 230 69
VCDI 0 0 0 92 577 3830 14839 78282
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66274 16295 701 1232 463 117 0 0
OW 53 162 111 403 318 115 29 0
VODI 0 65 52 329 439 186 85 0
ODI 0 20 22 187 375 202 128 2
CDI 0 5 5 142 423 448 231 68
VCDI 0 0 2 107 596 3723 14652 78281

Date: 2023-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66381 16374 710 1130 353 36 0 0
OW 52 141 107 481 305 86 0 0
VODI 0 36 54 382 499 169 6 0
ODI 0 4 2 196 453 259 34 0
CDI 0 1 0 121 531 586 245 37
VCDI 0 1 4 84 582 4778 20247 71581
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66381 16273 626 1212 468 100 0 0
OW 52 186 152 352 371 132 18 0
VODI 0 75 69 315 435 249 52 0
ODI 0 17 23 186 351 272 94 2
CDI 0 4 3 182 459 516 193 23
VCDI 0 2 4 147 639 4645 20175 71593


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