Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-07-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 4837 148 706 353 194 0 0
OW 0 382 79 1034 647 89 0 0
VODI 0 50 18 853 3041 59 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 109 2009 675 0 0
CDI 0 61 3 33 1482 5044 140 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 967 7476 1568 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20 4998 145 919 379 218 0 0
OW 0 313 75 1388 1066 66 0 0
VODI 0 31 4 602 2862 61 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 46 1204 1292 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 42 1433 7194 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 217 6809 694 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33 5430 172 938 306 136 0 0
OW 0 430 89 1143 336 41 0 0
VODI 0 43 12 961 1885 56 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 52 2915 244 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 1485 11229 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 4122 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 203 6022 158 1008 226 82 0 0
OW 1 527 97 1445 295 35 0 0
VODI 0 24 7 1258 1730 37 0 0
ODI 0 25 5 111 2440 663 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 27 1923 10059 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 3652 19 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 203 6138 172 1211 275 93 0 0
OW 1 384 69 1127 334 27 0 0
VODI 0 54 21 1370 1614 36 0 0
ODI 0 22 5 141 2530 568 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 0 1859 10091 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 3713 19 0

Date: 2018-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 204 6709 159 996 262 45 0 0
OW 0 535 98 1634 445 33 0 0
VODI 0 14 8 1045 1512 35 0 0
ODI 0 21 2 118 2685 636 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 2218 8516 1071 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1111 1759 207
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 204 6790 170 1190 314 58 0 0
OW 0 414 72 1251 414 24 0 0
VODI 0 59 23 1234 1522 34 0 0
ODI 0 16 2 121 2738 466 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 2134 8623 1045 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1171 1785 207

Date: 2018-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 472 7363 164 738 205 17 0 0
OW 0 419 102 1080 158 18 0 0
VODI 0 52 11 1371 1008 23 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 74 4816 315 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 0 774 8603 1700 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 606 1051 924
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 472 7144 168 999 417 44 0 0
OW 0 620 94 1160 532 16 0 0
VODI 0 41 12 991 1481 47 0 0
ODI 0 30 4 109 2570 1029 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 4 1961 7736 1845 62
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 710 906 877

Date: 2018-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 762 8054 132 525 160 25 0 0
OW 1 555 97 1157 146 12 0 0
VODI 0 69 15 1200 1088 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 95 4329 1361 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 739 7100 2166 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 143 1828 300
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 762 7650 144 982 323 36 0 0
OW 1 892 72 999 441 25 0 0
VODI 0 91 26 823 1277 37 0 0
ODI 0 45 3 144 2668 1761 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 1753 6628 2339 158
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 174 1655 143

Date: 2018-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1401 8036 126 504 170 9 0 0
OW 1 611 68 899 364 19 0 0
VODI 0 71 24 830 1525 48 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 159 4290 2547 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 552 6438 1705 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 927 757 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1391 7649 134 917 594 11 0 0
OW 11 863 50 527 713 31 0 0
VODI 0 169 28 591 1244 153 0 0
ODI 0 37 6 291 2712 2728 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 1638 6014 2171 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1051 291 0


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