Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-06-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79617 13542 165 1135 348 21 0 0
OW 43 231 36 532 216 29 2 0
VODI 0 84 17 273 717 110 10 0
ODI 0 24 2 76 603 527 64 0
CDI 0 8 3 37 737 1732 574 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1231 4055 2285
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79689 13722 183 1093 341 8 0 0
OW 41 160 30 535 312 40 6 0
VODI 0 59 13 183 831 131 13 0
ODI 0 18 4 53 493 592 175 0
CDI 0 1 1 36 648 1617 788 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 728 3458 3097
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79955 13769 152 884 253 8 0 0
OW 38 199 49 443 146 13 1 0
VODI 0 26 14 320 564 45 3 0
ODI 0 1 2 51 904 197 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 530 2411 528 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 601 3942 3020
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81286 12857 123 686 262 1 0 0
OW 28 206 53 421 185 6 1 0
VODI 1 57 12 291 655 60 5 0
ODI 0 10 3 72 820 338 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 559 2011 979 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 276 3558 3230
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81290 12822 131 793 276 1 0 0
OW 24 229 30 317 196 2 1 0
VODI 1 64 26 274 651 82 5 0
ODI 0 15 4 84 740 384 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 618 1986 944 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 237 3597 3230

Date: 2018-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82194 12299 119 634 232 1 0 0
OW 24 197 41 462 211 7 7 0
VODI 2 68 17 268 725 112 14 0
ODI 0 15 3 81 769 540 88 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 548 1395 1167 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 98 2086 4650
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82197 12262 116 726 250 1 0 0
OW 23 223 35 344 221 7 5 0
VODI 0 75 26 283 696 181 15 0
ODI 0 19 3 92 728 407 75 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 590 1500 1202 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 57 2065 4650

Date: 2018-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84457 10400 108 624 115 0 0 0
OW 52 149 52 515 83 0 1 0
VODI 16 7 8 406 564 18 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 1296 161 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 380 1971 479 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 956 4958 1278
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84448 10311 116 814 186 0 0 0
OW 64 164 26 397 223 33 2 0
VODI 13 70 24 251 786 218 41 0
ODI 0 11 2 105 680 427 121 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 563 1483 1312 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 945 3979 1278

Date: 2018-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84019 11044 126 869 90 0 0 0
OW 40 73 39 545 178 3 1 0
VODI 11 0 2 211 988 33 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 878 427 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 357 1620 1032 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 50 2467 3932
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84013 10914 127 994 172 0 0 0
OW 49 147 23 361 351 29 2 0
VODI 8 52 16 217 866 297 87 0
ODI 0 4 1 76 578 544 175 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 524 1229 1534 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 34 1743 3932

Date: 2018-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84835 10595 118 806 106 0 0 0
OW 35 55 28 523 299 3 1 0
VODI 6 1 4 171 1153 111 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 675 614 57 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 407 1503 1040 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 60 2047 3807
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84842 10427 107 935 194 5 0 0
OW 31 178 19 286 467 38 2 0
VODI 3 46 24 229 851 289 72 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 600 719 84 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 525 1196 1411 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 44 1581 3807


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