Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-06-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 319 13 60 13 0 0 0
OW 0 197 19 117 26 8 4 0
VODI 0 315 24 202 143 49 9 0
ODI 0 232 24 302 314 198 39 0
CDI 0 266 38 392 1504 1641 463 2
VCDI 0 44 8 81 537 5481 14913 4085
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 542 21 80 1 1 0 0
OW 0 299 13 98 28 19 0 0
VODI 0 374 26 229 147 64 7 0
ODI 0 271 30 393 403 222 46 0
CDI 0 185 30 577 2033 1889 687 22
VCDI 0 5 2 83 776 2823 9225 10431
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 1460 54 227 23 0 0 0
OW 0 260 26 276 130 1 0 0
VODI 0 68 7 483 500 20 0 0
ODI 0 24 12 282 1329 237 9 0
CDI 0 2 2 217 2330 2978 276 3
VCDI 0 11 0 8 180 5010 9867 5738
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52 1676 60 290 78 0 0 0
OW 0 173 31 379 200 4 0 0
VODI 0 66 13 384 843 40 0 0
ODI 0 14 9 208 1355 690 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 188 1416 3805 424 0
VCDI 0 9 0 10 419 6437 9649 3158
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52 1711 60 353 107 0 0 0
OW 0 135 29 337 201 3 0 0
VODI 0 66 15 362 802 51 0 0
ODI 0 14 9 204 1277 716 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 193 1482 3751 368 0
VCDI 0 9 0 10 442 6455 9705 3158

Date: 2018-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 1903 64 298 111 0 0 0
OW 0 174 39 544 230 1 0 0
VODI 0 85 16 526 759 43 3 0
ODI 0 25 5 296 1915 277 3 0
CDI 0 6 5 129 1824 3503 706 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 937 5338 5826 6470
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 1939 75 417 134 0 0 0
OW 0 137 30 412 249 1 0 0
VODI 0 87 9 531 724 52 3 0
ODI 0 23 10 306 1882 356 10 0
CDI 0 7 5 127 1841 3224 743 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 946 5529 5782 6470

Date: 2018-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 2123 66 394 110 0 0 0
OW 0 131 35 532 129 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 8 510 923 5 1 0
ODI 0 5 4 106 3367 147 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 73 814 4888 360 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 337 4176 7247 5526
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 2037 69 634 219 0 0 0
OW 0 155 24 371 390 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 11 341 1071 91 8 0
ODI 0 17 5 115 2339 350 0 0
CDI 0 6 4 147 1240 4046 769 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 421 4729 6837 5526

Date: 2018-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 2312 72 499 140 47 0 0
OW 0 140 41 551 360 8 0 0
VODI 0 15 4 357 1624 109 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 97 1907 986 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 577 4206 1512 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 533 4369 7534 4006
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 2189 77 690 353 48 0 0
OW 0 162 23 338 513 52 0 0
VODI 0 85 10 270 1190 216 4 0
ODI 0 24 4 119 1552 878 123 0
CDI 0 7 5 140 946 3706 1858 36
VCDI 0 0 0 2 587 4825 7062 3970

Date: 2018-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49 2673 77 477 162 76 0 0
OW 0 267 48 586 488 87 0 0
VODI 0 54 17 424 1770 541 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 100 908 1196 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 408 3587 1903 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 280 4837 7336 3661
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49 2557 88 713 377 77 0 0
OW 0 173 23 308 609 78 0 0
VODI 0 173 17 252 1097 455 9 0
ODI 0 92 13 192 912 1376 70 0
CDI 0 3 4 153 676 3301 2522 3
VCDI 0 0 0 32 345 5037 6638 3658


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