Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-06-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 645 564 248 19 1 1 0
OW 0 19 139 324 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 74 450 169 23 0 0
ODI 0 12 40 450 280 116 63 0
CDI 0 2 124 409 1105 1682 515 28
VCDI 0 0 69 437 797 4877 14479 3882
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 513 515 372 25 1 0 0
OW 0 45 188 290 40 1 0 0
VODI 0 17 145 422 176 15 13 0
ODI 0 11 84 372 367 137 106 0
CDI 0 1 167 620 1360 1806 764 8
VCDI 0 0 55 435 689 2451 10422 9449
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 898 950 581 33 2 1 0
OW 0 9 128 463 49 3 0 0
VODI 0 8 80 477 261 19 9 0
ODI 0 0 130 530 959 241 27 0
CDI 0 0 39 601 1560 1689 257 0
VCDI 0 0 0 44 257 3071 12100 6606
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 957 1102 572 35 1 1 0
OW 0 46 134 435 82 1 6 0
VODI 0 38 74 485 335 37 23 0
ODI 0 11 98 455 791 335 67 0
CDI 0 0 98 712 1505 1845 533 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 602 2576 9483 8600
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 963 1118 622 46 2 1 0
OW 0 45 123 362 81 1 5 0
VODI 0 33 67 513 322 34 24 0
ODI 0 11 99 450 758 334 65 0
CDI 0 0 99 705 1502 1846 533 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 641 2578 9485 8600

Date: 2017-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 888 1025 590 55 0 3 0
OW 0 72 141 445 137 3 1 0
VODI 0 64 120 492 385 80 4 0
ODI 0 36 94 387 961 504 69 0
CDI 0 10 134 875 2011 2370 668 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 953 2673 8780 7021
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 914 1025 679 82 2 3 0
OW 0 55 135 345 120 10 1 0
VODI 0 61 114 505 381 76 5 0
ODI 0 34 98 396 925 536 56 0
CDI 0 6 142 866 1912 2254 582 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 1082 2752 8878 7021

Date: 2017-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1066 1140 659 66 2 2 0
OW 0 54 127 683 53 1 2 0
VODI 0 5 83 826 452 17 4 0
ODI 0 2 54 727 1827 296 16 0
CDI 0 2 11 552 2029 3642 445 0
VCDI 0 0 0 46 291 2404 9395 5101
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 994 912 770 128 3 3 0
OW 0 34 137 376 146 17 1 0
VODI 0 52 118 517 650 179 11 0
ODI 0 35 95 412 913 663 44 0
CDI 0 12 146 1012 1867 2446 996 0
VCDI 0 2 7 406 1014 3054 8809 5101

Date: 2017-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1318 1170 790 62 1 4 0
OW 0 13 65 717 88 1 1 0
VODI 0 7 63 717 733 33 5 0
ODI 0 4 39 529 1723 564 18 0
CDI 0 5 17 252 2210 4103 1648 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 249 2039 6895 5999
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1271 839 698 156 4 4 0
OW 0 13 181 408 225 44 1 0
VODI 0 22 115 552 710 277 13 0
ODI 0 20 90 405 855 759 110 0
CDI 0 19 122 841 2016 3023 2208 0
VCDI 0 2 7 101 1103 2634 6235 5999

Date: 2017-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1052 1507 918 58 2 3 0
OW 0 22 69 784 131 3 1 0
VODI 0 8 58 722 927 83 7 0
ODI 0 5 34 552 1738 716 41 0
CDI 0 6 9 235 2373 3455 2737 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 293 2751 6699 4083
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 997 1205 798 122 14 3 0
OW 0 33 183 493 232 64 1 0
VODI 0 21 113 599 749 348 60 0
ODI 0 17 82 408 1039 615 480 0
CDI 0 23 91 848 2318 2756 2562 0
VCDI 0 2 3 65 1060 3213 6382 4083


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