Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-08-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86762 10880 1996 804 3 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 332 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 350 323 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 92 720 318 58 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 586 2001 953 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 38 1706 1122
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86995 11410 1324 693 5 0 0 0
OW 0 0 8 357 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 311 377 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 108 631 442 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 682 2203 1327 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 191 1516 429
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87235 9205 2977 867 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 12 336 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 472 143 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 117 1256 60 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 788 2613 312 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 458 1517 722
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89045 9643 1202 257 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 26 342 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 396 78 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 323 1059 40 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1230 2382 77 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 752 1693 550
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89045 9643 1192 293 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 35 280 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 399 72 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 342 888 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1407 2445 95 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 688 1675 550

Date: 2016-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90477 8056 1249 200 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 73 288 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 378 59 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 384 1084 63 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 1279 1948 296 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1498 1703 34
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90477 8053 1247 236 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 69 233 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 373 66 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 389 874 56 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 1482 2006 256 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1448 1743 34

Date: 2016-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90568 8230 894 253 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 17 315 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 672 147 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 100 1851 122 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 305 2034 229 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 116 1906 1332
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90568 8230 826 262 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 71 214 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 14 380 64 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 422 910 18 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 1327 1989 113 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 263 2021 1332

Date: 2016-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91854 7099 800 176 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 37 305 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 575 129 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 127 1774 193 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 521 1629 233 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1280 1684 656
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91854 7079 682 167 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 95 158 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 58 324 52 14 1 0
ODI 0 0 4 429 958 36 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 111 1383 1502 239 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 1555 1677 656

Date: 2016-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92219 6763 723 209 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 48 334 7 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 14 370 288 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 1516 307 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 572 1994 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1681 1287 587
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92219 6743 636 182 0 0 0 0
OW 0 21 92 179 11 3 0 0
VODI 0 5 45 334 98 22 2 0
ODI 0 0 12 264 1038 82 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 85 1128 1858 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 108 2025 1284 587


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 30. mai 21:51:51 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy