Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-08-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1045 14990 5630 1296 2 0 0 0
OW 0 271 1005 1142 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 270 3561 432 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1280 3963 136 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 960 3652 29 5
VCDI 0 0 0 4 1 2224 3432 503
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6547 13333 2307 729 0 0 0 0
OW 0 395 1054 1125 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 332 3249 727 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1309 3485 94 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 1120 3568 69 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 39 3112 3083 95
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3797 16701 3069 910 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 760 1482 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 74 3736 590 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 510 4227 154 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 2 532 4050 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1597 3410 222
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4492 16195 3414 704 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 1022 1735 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 78 3846 397 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 786 3360 133 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 47 946 3312 155 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 2107 3094 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4492 16177 3634 1173 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 777 1383 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 103 3708 556 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 808 3137 107 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 44 998 3182 180 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 0 2262 3069 0

Date: 2016-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4928 15662 4146 643 1 0 0 0
OW 0 92 1120 1789 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 89 3892 307 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 913 2591 108 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 49 619 3592 282 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 2269 2754 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4928 15688 4512 1023 3 0 0 0
OW 0 60 703 1539 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 140 3702 463 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 972 2308 86 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 729 3465 170 0
VCDI 0 1 0 2 2 2418 2866 0

Date: 2016-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3597 17309 6271 1360 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 385 1821 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 3005 484 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 314 2399 219 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 11 155 1807 472 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 59 3483 2683
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3597 16676 5019 1154 6 0 0 0
OW 0 574 955 1264 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 667 3158 587 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 30 853 1924 98 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 79 506 1977 1512 0
VCDI 0 1 0 3 1 10 2443 2683

Date: 2016-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5300 18394 4556 1260 4 0 0 0
OW 0 15 374 1694 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 24 2588 620 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 434 1894 153 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 401 1639 43 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 6 1062 3853 1522
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5300 17659 2925 891 15 0 0 0
OW 0 599 1022 1263 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 151 941 2679 678 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 66 1023 1488 95 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 125 711 2359 278 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 23 400 3618 1522

Date: 2016-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10575 12484 3847 1940 3 0 0 0
OW 0 205 876 1698 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 110 2459 644 57 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 657 1393 243 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 69 642 1250 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 79 2721 3789 71
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10575 11654 2974 1301 38 0 0 0
OW 0 633 875 1591 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 403 873 2567 702 52 0 0
ODI 0 0 112 1102 1015 233 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 246 902 1640 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 64 2346 3775 71


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