Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-04-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62602 17864 2444 1770 632 438 0 0
OW 62 276 530 665 591 187 0 0
VODI 0 46 135 387 939 542 0 0
ODI 0 32 27 227 676 755 16 0
CDI 0 15 74 300 853 1620 322 3
VCDI 0 0 0 180 765 9191 29716 52166
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62715 17682 2427 1721 610 350 52 0
OW 62 380 540 629 587 201 17 0
VODI 0 73 214 397 1009 605 7 0
ODI 0 30 70 226 530 692 36 0
CDI 0 3 77 323 1056 1745 343 91
VCDI 0 0 7 180 914 8321 34144 47982
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61627 18273 2876 1585 511 255 18 0
OW 62 228 338 860 443 168 35 0
VODI 0 119 190 667 1014 251 30 0
ODI 0 0 28 290 1388 795 40 0
CDI 0 0 10 112 942 2152 301 15
VCDI 0 0 0 66 942 9492 33592 47333
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62790 17686 2515 1694 633 273 0 0
OW 62 296 321 552 430 163 7 0
VODI 0 212 280 574 1145 329 26 0
ODI 0 39 86 459 834 529 51 1
CDI 0 2 70 254 914 1496 332 24
VCDI 0 0 0 144 1731 11010 35844 43240
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62790 17692 2541 1733 650 270 0 0
OW 62 275 295 486 437 150 4 0
VODI 0 214 270 648 929 330 31 0
ODI 0 54 109 431 1036 487 59 0
CDI 0 0 57 258 947 1542 306 25
VCDI 0 0 0 121 1688 11021 35860 43240

Date: 2015-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61726 19124 2524 1596 506 331 5 0
OW 61 287 498 760 471 149 12 0
VODI 0 182 221 560 947 250 32 0
ODI 0 43 128 366 451 503 72 0
CDI 0 37 91 445 780 1315 402 17
VCDI 0 0 11 261 2093 11636 34994 43161
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61726 19152 2658 1680 534 329 6 0
OW 61 259 365 640 426 126 8 0
VODI 0 170 213 631 900 281 35 0
ODI 0 68 140 377 523 377 84 0
CDI 0 24 73 400 830 1416 374 23
VCDI 0 0 24 260 2035 11655 35010 43155

Date: 2015-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63694 17900 2855 1336 228 237 22 0
OW 60 83 246 1263 385 126 1 0
VODI 0 38 51 794 725 144 8 0
ODI 0 10 61 260 930 493 18 0
CDI 0 0 1 140 1338 3054 376 37
VCDI 0 0 0 50 1201 9378 38256 41249
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63693 17596 2584 1642 433 356 24 0
OW 61 193 292 829 467 147 7 0
VODI 0 111 171 569 560 325 25 0
ODI 0 48 56 366 426 479 56 0
CDI 0 56 55 241 1017 1691 431 40
VCDI 0 27 56 196 1904 10434 38138 41246

Date: 2015-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64103 17974 2676 1875 437 270 0 0
OW 60 60 175 731 353 101 0 0
VODI 0 41 93 556 592 225 9 0
ODI 0 9 48 258 629 558 32 0
CDI 0 0 28 224 1167 2268 577 28
VCDI 0 0 0 203 1015 8281 36453 44939
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64103 17639 2444 1810 588 317 0 0
OW 60 190 222 655 436 201 3 0
VODI 0 117 144 489 386 370 17 0
ODI 0 61 70 264 496 409 83 0
CDI 0 51 73 286 876 1549 533 54
VCDI 0 26 67 343 1411 8857 36435 44913

Date: 2015-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63959 18240 2606 1867 384 242 10 0
OW 60 88 209 599 377 148 2 0
VODI 0 52 68 517 651 271 13 0
ODI 0 12 55 271 504 553 43 0
CDI 0 0 36 327 1106 1671 453 20
VCDI 0 0 0 150 1839 8676 35557 45412
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63959 17890 2478 1995 705 339 13 0
OW 60 187 167 458 428 223 23 0
VODI 0 152 117 402 438 372 15 0
ODI 0 64 67 239 448 522 45 0
CDI 0 71 78 293 814 1464 653 131
VCDI 0 28 67 344 2028 8641 35329 45301


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