Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-01-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59991 20401 3291 1020 140 165 6 0
OW 52 179 289 758 80 12 0 0
VODI 0 65 195 630 366 20 0 0
ODI 0 27 101 340 455 134 0 0
CDI 0 10 73 249 631 747 0 0
VCDI 0 0 71 285 850 4899 7911 4657
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56794 22869 4221 586 135 107 0 0
OW 53 174 569 491 93 16 0 0
VODI 0 116 357 613 221 48 0 0
ODI 0 43 115 395 357 103 2 0
CDI 0 28 68 342 391 580 7 0
VCDI 0 5 136 368 898 4603 8459 4737
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61551 20507 2552 856 116 90 17 0
OW 52 167 337 632 163 26 1 0
VODI 0 99 167 537 369 24 0 0
ODI 0 59 83 306 424 105 4 0
CDI 0 34 96 187 560 709 34 0
VCDI 0 8 59 201 932 4710 8019 4307
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60037 21048 2527 1048 144 103 67 0
OW 52 186 318 650 179 20 9 0
VODI 0 93 144 501 421 63 9 0
ODI 0 39 76 272 419 182 14 0
CDI 0 38 37 222 621 717 100 0
VCDI 0 18 113 241 760 3709 8978 4925
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60037 21078 2534 1099 151 102 58 0
OW 52 167 310 583 198 20 19 0
VODI 0 78 132 475 441 67 8 0
ODI 0 43 84 302 378 200 14 0
CDI 0 39 40 226 580 754 119 0
VCDI 0 17 115 249 796 3651 8959 4925

Date: 2015-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56485 22973 3330 1077 249 134 64 0
OW 53 173 243 561 217 62 3 0
VODI 0 135 112 442 459 104 6 0
ODI 0 95 50 222 434 158 27 0
CDI 0 71 47 148 570 656 144 0
VCDI 0 6 89 246 647 4277 8852 5479
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56485 22999 3345 1135 265 133 49 0
OW 53 162 236 531 242 60 18 0
VODI 0 137 102 425 468 110 9 0
ODI 0 86 47 208 443 175 22 0
CDI 0 67 55 145 535 649 146 0
VCDI 0 2 86 252 623 4264 8852 5479

Date: 2015-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53600 25461 4014 1106 198 45 0 0
OW 53 162 334 664 232 38 2 0
VODI 0 45 110 513 437 164 15 0
ODI 0 23 64 201 545 173 23 0
CDI 0 0 65 147 668 652 63 0
VCDI 0 0 28 156 614 4735 8385 5365
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53600 25259 3876 1228 299 99 4 0
OW 53 148 288 520 231 80 34 0
VODI 0 123 160 357 518 146 2 0
ODI 0 100 65 210 443 222 12 0
CDI 0 53 75 212 477 625 61 0
VCDI 0 8 151 260 726 4635 8375 5365

Date: 2015-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55893 23786 3231 1124 260 29 0 0
OW 53 215 222 543 348 55 0 0
VODI 0 117 88 475 466 160 0 0
ODI 0 43 80 193 483 248 2 0
CDI 0 19 87 112 815 749 19 0
VCDI 0 41 100 214 680 7329 6887 3934
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55892 23501 3088 1092 306 96 0 0
OW 54 226 237 422 269 97 0 0
VODI 0 175 126 490 389 159 0 0
ODI 0 116 66 248 404 269 5 0
CDI 0 98 72 148 696 734 21 0
VCDI 0 105 219 261 988 7215 6882 3934

Date: 2015-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54140 23406 4767 1068 307 68 0 0
OW 53 428 260 438 309 65 0 0
VODI 0 344 192 423 388 242 0 0
ODI 0 182 126 221 379 280 2 0
CDI 0 119 138 147 643 622 41 0
VCDI 0 151 243 534 986 5107 8385 3896
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54140 23305 4802 1211 382 104 0 0
OW 53 334 186 447 306 126 0 0
VODI 0 273 143 308 491 231 5 0
ODI 0 183 102 181 294 412 9 0
CDI 0 192 70 125 484 889 127 0
VCDI 0 343 423 559 1055 4622 8287 3896


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh ti. 30. mai 19:03:26 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy