Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-01-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 58 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 41 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 45 34 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 44 32 10 2 0
CDI 0 0 4 21 92 99 58 16
VCDI 0 0 0 26 173 1118 9986 20190
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 10 24 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 35 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 25 37 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 48 7 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 24 36 89 13
VCDI 0 0 0 21 114 930 9820 20793
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 52 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 18 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 57 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 7 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 27 40 44 10
VCDI 0 0 0 15 99 751 9566 21278
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 54 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 34 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 43 46 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 14 31 2 5 0 0
CDI 0 13 17 10 24 37 35 11
VCDI 0 26 62 132 165 638 8306 22354
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 49 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 33 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 47 46 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 14 33 3 5 1 0
CDI 0 10 16 9 21 42 41 12
VCDI 0 29 65 133 167 633 8299 22353

Date: 2015-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 15 15 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 18 16 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 13 55 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 13 39 22 5 0 0
CDI 0 2 23 12 13 63 0 2
VCDI 0 0 41 144 132 439 8449 22518
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 15 15 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 13 14 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 17 49 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 12 44 21 5 0 0
CDI 0 2 22 16 14 61 2 3
VCDI 0 0 44 143 134 441 8447 22517

Date: 2015-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 29 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 29 9 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 34 35 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 18 48 10 0 0 0
CDI 0 2 27 115 53 64 33 98
VCDI 0 0 0 54 105 1121 11251 18894
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 15 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 22 16 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 35 49 8 0 0 0
CDI 0 5 19 59 17 56 41 59
VCDI 0 17 44 138 149 1129 11243 18933

Date: 2015-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 34 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 14 25 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 28 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 18 38 7 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 19 21 57 63 30 7
VCDI 0 0 3 73 162 1971 16576 12904
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 15 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 17 13 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 32 5 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 14 44 30 77 21 0
VCDI 0 0 43 98 193 1958 16585 12911

Date: 2015-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 51 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 32 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 33 36 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 23 35 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 23 7 43 81 36 24
VCDI 0 0 38 120 133 977 11257 19107
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 11 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 29 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 22 14 0 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 23 61 22 34 25 1
VCDI 0 0 111 138 158 1017 11268 19130


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